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techMEDIUM2026-05-11 14:30 UTC

Your CPU Is Guessing the Future, and Wrong 5% of the Time

The "5%" in the title is the headline that gets people interested in branch prediction. It is also a workload-averaged number that papers over the only interesting part of the topic, which is that the misses live exactly where you can't see them. The textbook claim — pick a percentage in the 90s — i

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