Strait of Hormuz Reopening Odds: Down Again

From Kalshi, 7:45pm CT: The fact that the odds keep on jumping up and down is befuddling. It is clear tht Iran “holds the cards” (to use a Trumpism), and Trump himself is incapable of admitting he has put himself (or more precisely, the US) in a situation that is unambiguously worse than the staus [